MarketTilt™

Daily market direction models made with

NeuroShell Trader® Professional

Overview

Our own proprietary turnkey models are free for 30 days for new purchasers of NeuroShell Trader, NeuroShell Trader Professional, and NeuroShell DayTrader Professional. That should give you time enough to build your own custom models, but if not, you may choose to continue to use our MarketTilt models on a monthly subscription basis (see below). 

MarketTilt models use daily bars and will give you a signal after each day’s close. You have some discretion in reading this signal since it is numeric. However, we give each signal a color code as a recommendation for reading the market direction the next day. No model works on all issues, and no model works all the time on any single issue, but there are several different models (techniques) available. As you look at them please remember that the signal on any given bar is the signal for the next day (which may or may not begin with overnight trading, which is up to you.)

Models for individuals 

Cycles. When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. Signals are above zero as a buy opportunity transitions into a sell opportunity. They are below zero as a sell opportunity transitions into a buy opportunity. 

Somebody could have put butter on the table by watching the Cycles chart pick up a drop in butter futures on June 11, two days before it happened in the midst of totally flat prices.

Greed and Fear. When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. Signals are above zero as a buy opportunity transitions into a sell opportunity. They are below zero as a sell opportunity transitions into a buy opportunity. 

When the Pound-Euro cross rate started rising on April 27, it was no surprise to the Greed and fear model, which picked it up the day before:

Forecast. When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. Signals are above zero as a buy opportunity transitions into a sell opportunity. They are below zero as a sell opportunity transitions into a buy opportunity. 

Below the Forecast chart signaled a bull change in the e-mini at the end of a down day (February 9)!

Patterns. When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. Signals are above zero as a buy opportunity transitions into a sell opportunity. They are below zero as a sell opportunity transitions into a buy opportunity.  

Below the Patterns model predicted a major Jan 27 jump in Microsoft even after a down day (Jan 26):

Channels. This model is unlike the others, in that it does not provide a red and blue signal. Whether you should trade or not is based on whether the close falls above or below one of the channels. If the close was below the red lower channel, and it breaks above the red channel, a buy opportunity is probably beginning. If the close was above the upper blue channel, and drops below the blue channel, a sell or short opportunity is probably beginning.  

The Channels model is one of our best at picking up long term trends, as with this energy sector trend:

Adaptive. When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. Signals are above zero as a buy opportunity transitions into a sell opportunity. They are below zero as a sell opportunity transitions into a buy opportunity.  

Below the Adaptive model predicted a major July 19 jump in the S&P 500, which of course was a jump for a majority of stocks that day:

Models for institutions 

Institutional models include Models for Individuals, as well as: 

Greed and Fear net.  When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. In this chart, blue signals are always above zero, and red are always below. When the signal is close to zero, a transition is probably coming.

As shown on the chart below, the Greed and Fear net pick up a major drop in the S&P a day before it happened on June 5, and also signaled the rebound a day before it happened on June 14, 2006. This was long after this net was trained. Note that in neither case was there any small movement in the opposite direction just prior to the turns:

Wavelet net.  When the signal is blue, a buy opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. When it is red, a short or sell opportunity is probably coming tomorrow. In this chart, blue signals are always above zero, and red are always below. When the signal is close to zero, a transition is probably coming. 

The Wavelet net is very good at picking closely spaced turning points as show in the chart below. (it is less effective in long trends) Many other techniques like average crossovers would become whipsawed in such markets:

Pricing, Individual models 

First 30 days  - free to new users, starting after your free telephone training session
After 30 days - $99/month, billed monthly in advance on your credit card. 

Cancellation: You may cancel at any time, but there are no refunds for remainder of last billed month

Pricing, Institutional models 

First 30 days - free but only to qualified hedge funds and other institutions.
After 30 days – negotiated